Prediction of Lilian Marmousez vs Filip Cristian Jianu at Maia Challenger 11-28-25

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Marmousez has secured 42.78% of points on their second serve, compared to Jianu's 39.80%. Does this give Marmousez an upper hand? Yes, slightly.
• Return Game Stats: Marmousez wins 42.79% of opponents' second serve points, while Jianu is slightly better at 45.78%.
• In first serve returns, Jianu appears stronger, winning 31.47% compared to Marmousez's 25.66%.
• Under Pressure: Breakpoint-saving abilities show close competition with Jianu at 52.18% and Marmousez at 52.00%.
• Match Performance: Marmousez holds a stronger win percentage over the past year (75.68%) versus Jianu's 51.25%.
• Preferred Surface: Both players excel on clay with identical win rates of 68%.
• Level of Play: Marmousez has a higher win rate in lower-tier tournaments at 81.63%, while Jianu has experience in higher-level events but only wins 44.90%.
• Direct Head-to-Head: Jianu leads the head-to-head record, having won their only encounter on clay decisively in straight sets.
• Opponent Quality: Jianu has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a higher rank (339.95) than those faced by Marmousez (463.42).
• Deciding Set Performance: Marmousez excels in deciders, winning 79% compared to Jianu's 54%.
• Current Form: If both players have current event matches, their performance there is crucial for predictions.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Jianu has been more effective recently, converting 36.48% of opportunities versus Marmousez's 31.22%.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

Lilian Marmousez's recent form indicates strengths in winning second serve points and overall match success, making a compelling case for their potential victory.

However, Filip Cristian Jianu shows advantages in return game performance and having a past head-to-head win over Marmousez.

Marmousez's excellence in deciding set performance could be a decisive factor if the match extends to a third set, but Jianu's experience against higher-ranked opponents may provide a critical edge.

With a slightly stronger track record in breakpoint conversion and winning a prior head-to-head matchup, Filip Cristian Jianu appears more likely to win this upcoming tennis match.